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May 18, 2025

AGTL Top Pick of the Week May 18, 2025

UNH chart
Favorite United Health ($UNH) dumped after completing 15 year Parabolic Bull.

May 18, 2025.

For busy investors that don’t have time to Swing Trade, we now have a simple Strategy:
Top Pick of the Week. You Buy the “Pick” on Monday morning, and then Sell on Friday’s Close. It’s a time-efficient approach designed to capture short-term gains without requiring constant market monitoring.

This “Pick” is emailed to you with this Weekly Commentary (more details here).

The Top Pick of the Week: Gold Fund     IAU  Buy on the Open on Monday, and Sell on the Close Friday. This is an aggressive Buy, for investors that need a weekly trade. Otherwise conservative investors should remain in CASH for the week, as we could not find anything else. 

The 27 Top Picks of the Week Trades are up 32.04 % arithmetic total, and the S&P 500 Fund (SPY) is up +2.05 %.

You can view the current Weekly Stock Performance.

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SWING TRADING (SHORT TERM)
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5/18/2025  Markets were up sharply for the week, as the Indices decided that the trade war talk is not going to hurt the Economy (this month). Stocks “Gapped Up” on panic Buying on Monday, and the stronger Indices are quickly back up near the highs. FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) is back, as the News cycle has quickly flipped from MAX FEAR (Smart Money Buys) to high Greed (Smart Money Takes Profits).

But many average stocks and some of our Leaders are struggling to return to the February Highs, as the internals of the Markets are not showing broad based Buying. The big drop on United Health Group $UNH (see above) is a sign of of the latter Stage of a long Bull Market.

Many of the Leaders are back up in the weekly Red Zones (probably too late to Buy). So we have been raising CASH in some of the Swing Trades that we have been buried in. Please have Caution in Buying now, until we see some pullback.

We Buy the strongest Leaders that make new highs, on pull-backs. So follow the Green Line System and you should continue to win more than you lose.  SEE WATCH LIST

With the Green Line System, your Money should flow into the Strongest areas and your Account value should be able to grow in both Bull and Bear Markets. Follow the MONEY, not the MEDIA. 
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For the week the Dow was up 3.60%, the S&P 500 was up 5.29% and the NASDAQ 100 was up 6.87%. The major Indices still have a Relative Strength below 80, so you should currently own the stronger Funds here. 

The Inflation Index (CRB) was up 0.32% the week and is Above the Green Line, indicating Economic Expansion.
Bonds were down 0.86% for the week, and are Below the Green Line, indicating Economic Expansion.
The US DOLLAR was up 0.75% for the week. 
Crude Oil was up 2.41% for the week at $62.49 and GOLD was down 3.62% at $3203.79.   

SEE SUPPLEMENTAL CHARTS

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DAY TRADERS: We are doing many profitable Day Trades on our Discord Trading Hub (free). Please join Discord or X (Twitter) with your cell phone app for the fastest Trade Alerts and Daily email notifications during the day. Other methods of notification have been too slow. Also, please check our our Live Trading Room on YouTube during Market hours.

_______________________________________________________________________
SWING TRADE COMPLETED TRADES:   

HTZ     HERTZ GLOBAL       Slipped down to the Buy Price with a -0.16 % Loss.
IAG      IMAGOLD CORP.      Stopped Out on the Close with a – 10.65 % Loss.
META      META PLATFORMS      Stopped Out on the Close with a – 4.90 % Loss.
RWM      INVERSE SMALL CAP FUND      Stopped Out on the Close with a – 5.34 % Loss.
VRNA       VERONA PHARMA      Target was Hit at $71 with a 5.1% Gain (Swing Trade).    
XPEV       XPENG INC.      Stopped Out on the Close with a – 1.74 % Loss.

We are now in 3 Three Star logged Swing Trading Positions for the Short Term. There are only 2 investments on the Short Term Watch List. 

Completed Swing Trades thru Apr 2025:   82 Trades, + 279.9% Total.  Avg. Trade = 3.41 % Gain (before taxes and commissions).   

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LONG TERM WATCH LIST

WL

 

ATGL Long Term Weekly Watchlist- Click here for scrolling charts.

BE       BLOOM ENERGY         Bought above $19.55, Target is $26.

Completed Long Term Trades in 2024:  51 Trades, +333.46% Total, or 9.6 % / Trade (before taxes & commissions).       

______________________________________________________________________________

Important Links
Top 100Stage Chart InvestingCNN Fear & Greed Index
Dividend Growth PortfolioETF Sector PortfolioDogs of the Dow
Long Term StrategyStage Chart InvestingArticles

Alert! Market Risk is High (RED). The probability of successful Short Term Trades is better, when the % of stocks above the 50-day avg. is below 20. 

Tell your Friends about the Green Line, and Help Animals.

______________________________________________________________________________

QUESTION:  Nancy writes  “I would like to know where the relative strength factor is located on the charts.”

ANSWER:  Hi Nancy, the Relative Strength is usually on the bottom left of each Chart  with a Red Box around it (SCTR is StockCharts Technical Rank).  Sometimes we use data from:

Relative Strength Values comes from the SCTR Rank (StockCharts Technical Rank), www.etfscreen.com for ETFs , and Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) for stocks. We prefer the longer term weighting used by www.etfscreen.com and IBD.

Good trading, and tell your friends!

Related Post

– ATGL Top Pick of the Week May 11, 2025

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