The Top Pick of the Week (TPOW) Investment Strategy: A Guide for Success
The Top Pick of the Week (TPOW) strategy by Above the Green Line (ATGL) is a proven system designed to help investors maximize returns while managing risk. This strategy focuses on technical strength and momentum, selecting stocks that demonstrate strong performance characteristics. However, its success depends on disciplined execution and investor judgment. Below, we break down the key aspects of the strategy and offer guidance on how to best use it.
Key Principles of the TPOW Strategy
1. Exercise Personal Judgment
At ATGL, we follow a consistent rule: we buy at Monday’s market open and sell at Friday’s close unless the stock reaches our target cap of 8% gains before the close. This structure is intentional—we want to ensure our guidance reflects profits that investors could realistically achieve themselves.
However, the timing of your trades should always be based on your own judgment and circumstances. Markets can be unpredictable, and you should feel empowered to adapt the strategy to suit your personal goals and risk tolerance.
2. Don’t Wait Until the Close to Lock in Returns
Market history has shown that stocks often experience strong morning rallies, only to fade as the day progresses. While we may aim to sell at Friday’s close, if you’re sitting on a reasonable profit earlier in the day or week, consider locking in your gains. Waiting until the last minute can result in unnecessary risks, especially in volatile markets.
3. Use Sell Limits to Capture Gains
A smart way to manage your investment is by setting a sell limit order with a target price, such as a 4% or 5% gain. By entering this sell limit order on Monday or during the week, you’ll have a plan in place to automatically lock in profits when your target is hit. This approach reduces emotional decision-making and ensures you’re consistently taking profits.
4. Celebrate Modest Gains
Remember, a 3%, 4%, or 5% return in a single week is excellent when compounded over time. Greed can lead to poor decisions and unnecessary losses. By focusing on consistent, manageable returns, you’ll build wealth more effectively than chasing unrealistic gains.
🧮 5. Use Fibonacci Levels to Plan Risk-Based Exits
Risk management is essential to long-term success with the TPOW strategy. One effective way to do this is by using Fibonacci retracement levels to define tiered profit targets. After a stock has pulled back and triggered a buy signal (such as breaking out from an oversold stochastic condition), Fibonacci retracement levels offer a structured method to plan your exits based on how much risk you’re willing to take.
For example, if a stock dropped 10 points before entering the Green Zone, you can use the Fibonacci sequence to project potential retracement levels as the stock rebounds:
| Fibonacci Level | Target Gain (%) | Point Gain ($) | Risk Profile |
| 23.6% | ~1.3%–2% | ~$1.31–$2.02 | Very Conservative Exit |
| 38.2% | ~2.5%–3.5% | ~$2.53–$3.54 | Conservative Exit |
| 50.0% | ~4%–5% | ~$4.04–$5.05 | Balanced Target |
| 61.8% | ~5.5%–6.5% | ~$5.56–$6.57 | Moderately Aggressive |
| 78.6% | ~7%–8% | ~$7.07–$8.08 | Aggressive / Max Target |
Each level corresponds to a different risk tier, allowing you to choose exit points that align with your comfort level and market outlook. More conservative investors may aim to take profits near the 23.6% or 38.2% levels, locking in smaller but more probable gains. Meanwhile, those willing to accept greater risk for higher reward can target the 61.8% or even the full retracement level at 100%.
✅ Tip: You can scale out of your position at multiple levels—for example, sell 25% at the 38.2% level, another 25% at 50%, and hold the rest for the 61.8% target. This helps reduce risk while keeping upside potential.
By incorporating Fibonacci-based exits into your TPOW execution, you’re adding a rules-based layer of discipline that complements the strategy’s technical strength.
How ATGL Selects TPOW Stocks
The TPOW stock is chosen based on strict technical criteria:
- Strong SCTR Score: We select stocks with a StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR) above 90, indicating strong technical performance.
- Green Zone Breakout: The stock must be breaking out of the Green Zone, signifying upward momentum and potential for further gains.
These criteria aim to minimize risk and maximize the probability of success. While the market can be volatile, stocks with strong momentum tend to recover quickly from downturns, making them ideal for the TPOW strategy.
Why the TPOW Strategy Works
The TPOW strategy leverages technical analysis to identify high-probability opportunities while setting clear boundaries for risk management. By adhering to the principles outlined above, investors can:
- Capitalize on Momentum: Stocks selected for TPOW are already demonstrating strong performance, reducing the likelihood of significant declines.
- Minimize Emotional Decision-Making: Using tools like sell limits and predefined rules helps investors stay disciplined.
- Build Wealth Over Time: Compounded weekly gains of even 3% can lead to extraordinary long-term results.
Final Thoughts
The TPOW strategy is a powerful tool for investors looking to take advantage of technical momentum while managing risk. However, its success ultimately depends on your ability to execute it with discipline and adaptability. Always use your own judgment, lock in reasonable returns, and remember that consistent gains are far more valuable than chasing risky profits. With these principles in mind, you can make the most of the TPOW strategy and achieve your financial goals.
