XAUUSD – Daily FVG + Turtle Soup → Executed Short Toward External Liquidity Price retraced into the daily FVG as expected after the initial bearish expansion. This zone acted as a premium area within a clear bearish HTF context. Inside the FVG, price formed a Turtle Soup (TS) — taking short-term buy-side liquidity and failing to hold above. That was the trigger. I didn’t wait further — I executed the short directly on confirmation of the TS inside the FVG, aligning with the overall bearish narrative. Execution logic: - HTF bias: Bearish (post liquidity sweep and distribution) - Location: Daily FVG (premium) - Trigger: TS (liquidity grab + rejection) - Action: Immediate execution on confirmation Price reaction from this zone supports the idea that the retracement was simply a setup for continuation, not reversal. Target: Continuation toward external liquidity below, aiming for an extended move (~10k pips) as price delivers... Read more

Why does this chart matter to investors? Imagine a town that produces 100 pizzas a year. Each pizza costs $10. The town's "GDP" is $1,000. Next year, the town will still produce 100 pizzas. But now each pizza costs $15. The town's GDP is now $1,500. Did the town get richer? No. It made the exact same number of pizzas. It just used more dollars to count them. That's asset price inflation. And that's what the gap in this chart represents. While did experience economic inflation in the past the GAP did not form. Why? Bc the earnings yield, Bond yields, and inflation were more in line with each other. That kept the real and nominal economy in balance. Not this time. Multiple expansions end badly! Because they don't buy more earnings growth in the future. What they actually do is pull future earnings FROM THE future into today. That... Read more

AUD/JPY has bounced off the support level, which is a pullback support and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 109.44 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Stop loss: 108.78 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 111.46 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment... Read more

SPY on the 4H chart is in a maturing corrective downtrend, rejecting key resistance and the 20MA, which favors continuation lower rather than an immediate trend reversal. Structure and Context Price spent months in a broad sideways range, then broke down from that range, shifting from balance to imbalance in favor of sellers. Since the breakdown, price has respected a clearly defined descending channel, with lower highs and lower lows confirming a sustained downtrend on this timeframe. Current Location In Trend The latest rally is retracing back into prior range support, which now acts as resistance, aligning with the upper boundary of the descending channel. Price is reacting right at this confluence zone, suggesting sellers are defending the breakdown level rather than allowing a reclaim of the old range. Moving Average And Momentum The 20-period moving average on the 4H chart is acting as dynamic resistance, with price rejecting as... Read more

🔶 NFLX – Holding Above HVL, Testing 200 EMA into Call Cluster 🔶 NFLX is currently pushing into a technically and options-driven key zone. Price has moved above the High Volatility Level (HVL), shifting the market into a positive GEX regime, where price action tends to stabilize and volatility compress compared to reactive downside conditions. At the same time, price is now approaching the 200-day moving average from below, adding an important technical layer to the current setup. 🔶 Options Structure Context 🔶 Price is entering a positive gamma environment above HVL 100 – highest call GEX level, acting as a major upside reference 🔶 Options Sentiment 🔶 Call pricing skew is currently around +30%, indicating moderate call-side demand. 🔶 What to Watch 🔶 👉 The key level is clear: 100 call wall If price can approach and engage this level with momentum, the reaction will determine whether the move... Read more

The Nasdaq 100 has impressively made back all of its overnight losses on some headlines regarding the Iran that sound a bit questionable. Apparently, Iran is drafting deal with Oman to monitor Strait of Hormuz traffic - effectively setting tolls for ships passing this chokepoint. BUT this is planned for after the end of the war. So i dont see why oil fell back on the this and stocks rallied. Indeed, with attacks on tech companies taking place today in the Gulf and Strait of Hormuz effectively shut, i would be very surprised if markets can remain high heading deeper into the US session. Right now the Nasdaq is testing a major technical area starting around 24,000 to 24,265. As you can see, this was previously support. Could we see the return of the selling here? By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com... Read more

At the moment, on the hourly chart for platinum, we’ve hit a resistance level around 1955–1965. I believe at this level, the price is showing some signs of getting stuck, and it seems we won’t break through. Therefore, I think it’s reasonably safe to take a short position now , with a stop at 1967 and targets around 1900–1890. Also, I do not recommend carrying this position overnight, because—let me remind you—my broker doesn’t allow me access during the night in my time zone. Thus, when the Asian session opens at night for me, I cannot close the position. If it suddenly spikes upward, I won’t be able to exit and could face huge losses. Especially since the position is short, I absolutely won’t do that. I’ve taken a large position here. If you have the ability to trade 24/7, you can carefully keep the short, but always set stop-losses... Read more

0.618 Acting as Support Price continues to react at ~$66.1K, showing buyers are defending this key level Bearish Higher Timeframe Trend 100/50-day EMAs remain bearishly crossed with price below, keeping pressure on Weak Structure Above Lower highs still in place, with no strong reclaim of resistance levels In Summary Bitcoin is holding the 0.618 support at $66.1K, but the broader trend remains bearish with price below key moving averages. While support is intact for now, structure still favours downside unless bulls can reclaim higher levels and shift momentum.... Read more

LINK is holding inside a clear HTF discount zone around 8.2–8.4, aligning with the demand box visible on the chart. Price has already tapped this region multiple times, confirming buyer interest, but structure still leans slightly bearish with lower highs intact. The chart shows a developing harmonic-style structure (potential bullish completion near point C/D), suggesting a possible reversal if the current base holds. However, liquidity still rests below the equal lows near 8.2, making a final sweep very likely before any sustained move up. Volume and RSI indicate weakening downside momentum, and if sellers push one more time into liquidity, it could create the perfect trap. A reclaim of the 8.6–8.8 range would confirm strength and open the path toward higher resistance levels near 9.0+. Watch for confirmation: liquidity sweep → strong bullish displacement → RSI MA crossover. Without this sequence, the setup remains incomplete under the SAFE MODEL. Analysis... Read more

NEAR Protocol – who’s watching this support zone with me? According to industry sources, interest around layer‑1s is slowly waking up again, and NEAR keeps popping up in dev activity stats, even while price has been quietly bleeding. Today price tapped back into that big green demand block that last time kicked off a decent bounce, so this level matters. On the 4H chart, NEARUSDT is grinding along local support around 1.15 with RSI trying to curl up from near oversold. Volume has been heavier on dips into this zone, hinting at absorption rather than panic. If buyers defend this base, I’m leaning toward a relief move, with the first liquidity pocket sitting around 1.28‑1.30. My plan: I like staggered longs inside the green zone with invalidation below roughly 1.10. Base case for me is a bounce toward 1.29, then reassess if momentum and volume confirm. ⚠️ If price closes... Read more

The chart shows a structured bullish move that transitioned into a consolidation phase, where price started losing momentum. After this pause, a strong bearish displacement occurred, indicating a clear shift in market control. The downside move reflects strong selling pressure, breaking previous structure and confirming continuation behavior. Following this impulse, price has started a pullback, which is a natural retracement after an extended move. The highlighted zone above represents a potential supply area. If price reacts from this region, it may continue the bearish move in alignment with the overall structure. This setup demonstrates how impulsive moves are often followed by corrective phases before continuation. Speculative Outlook After a sharp bearish move, price is now retracing upward toward a key zone. This pullback could offer a potential reaction area if selling pressure re-enters the market. If price shows rejection within the marked zone, continuation toward lower levels can be expected.... Read more

This analysis is based on the recent announcement of the incentive package for the incoming CEO. For details of the technical breakdown, see my analysis on Business Day TV. youtu.be/Wa9IHlf_pAA?si=LshEJt48fpXUPMLI... Read more

A Head and Shoulders pattern on GBPNZD is a simple sign that the market may go from up to down. It has three peaks: the first is the left shoulder, the second (higher one) is the head, and the third (lower one) is the right shoulder, showing buyers are getting weaker. When price breaks below the neckline (the support level between the peaks), it usually means sellers are taking over, and price may start dropping.... Read more

Hi traders, this is more complex we got Model 1 on Daily CLS range nested in the Model 2 in Weekly CLS range. Basically more confluence. Im already in this Long from this key level. As always SL should be below manipulation. This time I have set it bellow the Low as its also model 2 on weekly and NFP tomorrow. 🎯 Targeting Full Daily CLS range and will try to hold whole range on weekly. 📚 Bullish CLS Strategy Structure https://www.tradingview.com/x/KyvFjErR/ ⚠️ Note: The strategy is solid, but I’m not perfect. I may miss something or make a mistake that I don’t see at the moment of posting. And your plan should not be based on idea from stranger on the internet. That’s why proper risk management is always part of the game. Adapt useful, Reject useless and add what is specifically yours. David Perk... Read more