XAUUSD (Gold) – Bullish Market Structure After a strong Bullish, price established a consolidation base, indicating a phase of accumulation. The market then produced a clear breakout above the previous resistance, signaling a potential shift toward bullish momentum. Currently, price is holding above the breakout zone while respecting an ascending trendline, forming a series of higher lows. This structure suggests that buyers remain in control, supporting the case for further upside continuation. As long as price maintains support above the 4,650–4,700 region, the bullish outlook remains valid, with potential movement toward higher resistance levels. Key Levels to Watch: - Resistance: 4,800 / 5,010 - Support: 4,650 – 4,700 This analysis is based on current market structure and price action. Market conditions may change, so proper risk management should always be applied.... Read more

The U.S. 10Y Treasury yield moved higher during the second half of the week, as rising oil prices intensified inflation concerns and reshaped macro expectations. Markets are increasingly pricing in a “higher-for-longer” interest rate environment, as persistent inflation could limit the scope for rate cuts. This shift has led to selling pressure on longer-dated bonds, pushing the 10Y yield upward and tightening financial conditions. Overall, the move reflects growing uncertainty around inflation dynamics and the future path of monetary policy. Although 10Y yields started the week in a relaxation mood, dropping from 4,42% toward the 4,26%, still, they closed the week higher, at 4,34%. A higher volatility might continue, as a reflection of investors sentiment to developments with oil prices and potential implied inflation, and US macro data. The week ahead brings PCE and inflation data for March, which will most certainly be reflected in higher volatility of 10Y yields.... Read more

Bitcoin got rejected from the upper boundary of the descending channel, confirming the bearish structure is still valid. Price is struggling to break above resistance, and sellers are stepping in again. As long as we stay below the channel, downside pressure remains. Next targets: 🎯 66,000 🎯 64,500 🎯 62,000 Watching for continuation to the downside. 📉 Not financial advice.... Read more

Gold prices declined during the second half of the week, as rising oil prices and broader macroeconomic pressures weighed on investor sentiment. Higher oil prices, driven by ongoing geopolitical tensions, have increased inflation expectations, which in turn could keep interest rates elevated for longer. This environment makes gold less attractive since it does not yield interest, while stronger bond yields and a firmer dollar draw investors away from the metal. Overall, the macro backdrop of inflation risk and tighter monetary policy expectations pushed gold lower. Gold started this week modestly above the $4,4K. The highest weekly level reached was at $4.790, however, this level was rejected on Thursday, so the price was closed at $4.676. The RSI is trying to reach the level of 50, however, it seems that investors are still not ready for a move toward the overbought market side. The MA50 started its stronger convergence toward the... Read more

Investors' sentiment continues to be under the impact of increasing oil prices. In a speech held by the US President, it was noted that the ongoing war with Iran will most probably continue within the next two to three weeks. On the other hand, the US jobs market showed some improvement, putting back a glimpse of confidence among investors. Although markets tried to enter into modest recovery for the rest of the week, mostly supported by US macro data, still, the fear of increasing oil prices and its potential impact on future inflation is still placing most investors on hold. At the start of the week the S&P 500 reached its lowest level since August 2025, at 6.320. This level represents some 9,7% total drop from its ATH, and placed the index into clear oversold territory as per technical analysis on a daily chart. For the rest of the week,... Read more

This week on the US market was devoted to jobs data, although Friday was a non-working day due to Holiday when markets were closed. Posted JOLTs Job Openings for February reached 6.882M, which was modestly below consensus of 6,92M. Non-farm Payrolls for March reached 178K , which was highly above 50K forecasted by the market. Just for information purposes, NFP for February was standing in a negative territory of -133K. At the same time, the unemployment rate in March returned back to 4,3%, after an increase in February to 4,4%. Average hourly earnings in March were increased by 0,2% m/m and 3,5% y/y. As for other macro data posted for the US, retail sales in February were higher by 0,6% m/m above forecasted 0,3%, while on a yearly basis, retail sales were increased by 3,7%. The ISM Manufacturing PMI in March reached 52,7, in line with market consensus. The Inflation... Read more

driven by economic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, or high volatility—directly causes market declines by fueling risk-off behavior, reducing stock prices, and increasing market volatility. Pessimistic, fear-driven sentiment leads investors to pull capital from equities, favoring safe havens like gold or US Treasuries.... Read more

Level Type Value Significance Resistance 2 (R2) 23,124 Major hurdle; aligns with the critical trendline breakout. Resistance 1 (R1) 22,918 Immediate supply zone; heavy Call writing starts here. Pivot Point (P) 22,654 The neutral "center" line for tomorrow's opening. Support 1 (S1) 22,448 First defensive floor; watch for buying interest here. Support 2 (S2) 22,184 Major demand zone; aligns with psychological support. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Bullish Scenario: If Nifty opens or sustains above the Pivot (22,654), it may attempt to test R1 (22,918). A breakout above R1 targets R2 (23,124). Bearish Scenario: If Nifty stays below the Pivot (22,654), it is likely to drift toward S1 (22,448). A break below S1 opens the doors for S2 (22,184).... Read more

🚀 The U.S.-Iran conflict has entered its 37th day, with the Middle East at a critical juncture ahead of the April 6 ultimatum. Market sentiment is being violently pulled between risk-off panic and interest rate suppression. As a traditional safe-haven asset, gold is exhibiting a complex trend that defies historical experience—suppressed by high interest rates and a strong U.S. dollar in the short term, yet strongly supported in the medium-to-long term by the normalization of geopolitical risks and the recovery of rate-cut expectations. The market is currently at a critical window where these two major logics are shifting. The U.S.-Iran confrontation has evolved from localized military skirmishes into an all-out game spanning military, energy, and diplomatic spheres, with April 6 serving as the line of life or death that will determine the course of the situation. 🚀 Military Confrontation Heats Up, Battlefield Losses Mount ⚠ The Trump administration issued a... Read more

The 2008 recession, or "Great Recession," was the most severe global economic crisis since 1929, triggered by the collapse of the American housing bubble (subprime mortgage crisis) and the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers in September 2008. It caused a global financial meltdown, a sharp rise in unemployment, and a prolonged recession.... Read more

Don't miss this Sell position, it's a good one! For more FREE signal and ICT concept, searching ALEX | ULTIMATE TRADING on telegram.... Read more

Aptos. Who’s brave enough to catch this falling knife? While the whole alt market is still digesting the recent risk-off mood, Aptos keeps bleeding after headlines about weaker ecosystem activity and shrinking TVL, and the market clearly voted with its feet. Today we’re sitting near fresh lows, so the next move from here usually becomes explosive in either direction. On the 4H chart, price is grinding inside a bearish channel with no real bounce, but RSI is buried around oversold and starting to curl up. I’m leaning toward a snapback long, targeting the first liquidity pocket around 0.90, then the heavier supply zone near 1.00 where volume last traded serious size. If buyers step in with a strong green 4H candle and expanding volume, this can turn into a classic short-covering squeeze. My base plan: ✅ accumulate a starter long close to current prices with a tight invalidation under the... Read more

The 30-minute chart shows a clear transition from a prolonged bearish phase into a developing bullish structure, now approaching a critical decision zone. Market Structure Analysis: * The left side of the chart reflects a strong bearish trend, characterized by consistent lower highs and lower lows. This establishes the higher timeframe context as previously bearish. * A base formation occurred after the selloff, followed by a **clear shift in structure (CHoCH)**, marking the first sign of bullish intent. This transition is important as it signals a change in order flow. * Since the shift, price has been forming a **clean sequence of higher lows and higher highs**, supported by a well-respected ascending trendline. This confirms sustained buying pressure and a developing bullish trend on the intraday timeframe. * The bullish move is structured and controlled, not impulsive and erratic. This type of price action typically reflects **institutional accumulation rather than... Read more

The crypto market continues to stay aside considering investors concerns regarding potential course of the US and global macroeconomic developments in the coming period in case that surging oil prices reflect in inflation. This would mean either “higher for longer” central bank rates, or even potential increase in interest rates as the worst-case scenario. Higher rates means less liquidity on the market, which at the end, means less liquidity for high risk assets. BTC was in the “chopping” mode during the previous week, with a very low trading range - between $69K and $66K. However, a “chopping” mode implies that the next bigger move is coming in the future period. The RSI remains below the 50 level, which means that investors are still not ready to take the clear path toward the overbought market side. However, they are currently not ready to take a path toward the oversold market side... Read more

Last week in the news New week brought the old stories and investors' worries. The price of oil was still the main topic impacting investors sentiment, as well as US macro data. The S&P 500 managed to recover at least some 4% of its previous weekly losses, by closing the week at 6.582. The price of gold is trying to find the direction, but still ending the week at $4.676. The US 10Y Treasury yields continue with higher volatility, this week a bit lower from the previous one, but still closing higher, at 4,3%. The only asset still “chopping” and waiting for investors liquidity is the crypto market. BTC was traded in a lower weekly range, managing to close above the $67K. U.S. markets were closed on Friday due to Holiday, but still some important macro data were posted. February JOLTs job openings came in at 6.88M, slightly below expectations,... Read more