In this video I break down a Gold (XAUUSD) trade analysis and backtest where I review a trade that ultimately resulted in a loss and explain what I missed and what the correct setup should have been. The market had already rejected a major Daily Fair Value Gap, signaling a strong bearish bias from higher timeframes. However, I entered a trade based on a lower timeframe idea expecting bullish continuation after price swept multiple highs. The trade was also placed outside of my trading session, which violated my rules. In this breakdown I walk through: • The original trade idea and why I took the trade • Why the higher timeframe bias was actually bearish • The liquidity sweep and rejection from the Daily Fair Value Gap • The lower timeframe Fair Value Gap that should have been used for entry • How this trade should have been executed based... Read more

🛢️ Crude Oil Bullish Core Drivers 1. 🛡️ Geopolitical risks have not completely subsided The situation in the Middle East remains tense. Iran's new Supreme Leader has clearly stated that he will not give up on revenge and will continue to use the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz as a retaliatory measure. Although one Turkish ship was allowed to pass through on March 13, 14 Turkish ships are still waiting to pass, and the traffic volume in the strait remains far below normal levels. 20% of global oil seaborne traffic is still affected, and concerns about supply disruptions continue to provide risk premium support for oil prices. Meanwhile, the conflict between the US, Israel, and Iran has not shown any substantial easing, and Iran's oil production and export capabilities still face uncertainty, further strengthening bullish expectations. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2. 📉 Rigid supply-side support OPEC+ production cut discipline continues to tighten.... Read more

Hello, I'm Bella. Looking at the current movement of XAUUSD, I believe the gold market is beginning to enter a clear phase of weakness, where selling pressure is gradually taking control rather than this being just a temporary correction. From a news perspective, the overall picture is gradually leaning in favor of the US Dollar. Expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates higher for longer are helping the USD maintain its strength in the short term. As bond yields rise and monetary policy shows no clear signs of easing, the opportunity cost of holding gold also increases. As a result, market capital tends to flow back into the USD rather than into gold as a safe-haven asset. When these factors are considered together, it becomes clear that the current macro environment is putting short-term pressure on gold. Looking at the chart, the most important factor right now is... Read more

https://t.me/fractal_flow_markets Bitcoin appears to be forming a relief rally after the recent selloff, but the structure still resembles a bear flag. In the previous cycle, BTC also produced a temporary rally before the final capitulation leg, which ultimately formed the cycle bottom. The current move could be mimicking that same behavior. Price is attempting a recovery, but structurally this may just be a relief bounce inside a broader downtrend. If the pattern continues to follow the previous cycle, one final drop later this year could trigger the true capitulation phase before the next bull market begins. Interestingly, ETF inflows are starting to return, suggesting long-term demand is building even if the market still needs to flush remaining leverage first. ⚠️ Cycle comparison + structure analysis — not financial advice.... Read more

https://t.me/fractal_flow_markets Bitcoin may be forming a relief rally after the recent selloff, but the structure still suggests more downside could come first. The current move up looks like a bear flag forming after the impulse down, which historically often leads to one final leg lower. When comparing this cycle with the previous one, BTC also produced a temporary rally before the final capitulation phase. That final drop is usually where true cycle bottoms form. Meanwhile, ETF inflows are starting to return, suggesting long-term demand is building — but short term the market may still need to flush remaining leverage and weak hands. If the pattern continues to mimic the previous cycle, a final capitulation move could occur later this year before the next major bull phase begins. ⚠️ Structure + cycle comparison idea — not financial advice. https://t.me/fractal_flow_markets... Read more

Last week I spotted lower high formed on weekly TF and predicted gold should drop under 5000. Indeed gold should fall but not below 5000, which is a critical support to watch out next week. I do expect 5000 to be broken and next week will be very crucial as gold is facing a weekly trendline as drawn in the chart. If next week's candle is closed under the trendline, we may see a deeper correction. Nevertheless, next week gold should drop at least for the first few sessions to at least 4950. I will post daily trading plans next week. Stay tuned!... Read more

I don’t see any need for explanation. No fool gives away their money-making secrets for free. A few days ago, this old man warned about the big drop in gold. Now I’m telling you: gold is not the time right now. What I mean is that gold simply isn’t attractive at the moment. Do you believe I don’t even have the time to try to convince you to accept my idea? Successful people don’t have extra time. Not financial advice… Amir of Hearts… Amir Ghasemi... Read more

The price of #DAM is consolidating within a falling wedge pattern , currently trading near the pattern's apex. This pattern suggests a potential bullish reversal if the price breaks above the upper resistance trendline. The next target for #DAM is around 0.03850, contingent on a successful breakout with sufficient volume . #DAM #crypto #trading #altcoi... Read more

CRYPTOCAP:BTC tends to rebound at certain levels. This is a way to identify support and resistance. Levels are, of course, violated but with proper risk management buying support and longing resistance is a profitable strategy. Not the best, but interesting given its simplicity.... Read more

Fed announcement on intent to implement 1250% risk premium on crypto vs all other assets introduces a huge degree of uncertainty. Despite crypto should have been a safe-haven for Iran diversification and hedging, it has not proven this. Sentiment and faith is waning with increased governmental regulation and oversight post ETF. All TA indicators for next week from moving averages to macd divergence to rsi to fibonacci, all bearish.... Read more

Hello friends , here Gold has respected the 1-Day FVG very well and moved downward from that area. But now Gold has reached a support level. If Gold respects the 1-Day Order Block and holds this support level, then we may see strong demand coming from this zone. Also, from the upper side, Gold has been perfectly respecting the TLC of the parallel channel that we have drawn. So friends, I expect that on Monday Gold may create demand from this level and move towards https://www.tradingview.com/x/d5UI6fRo/ https://www.tradingview.com/x/tmUGP1Wx/... Read more