WEEKLY SPY (SP500-SPX-US500) Outlook - Prediction (14 DEC) Market Sentiment Market sentiment has turned slightly bullish again following the FED’s rate cut decision. We saw the market react quickly after Powell’s speech. QE has restarted, and the FED stated it will buy $40 billion of Treasury bills over the next 30 days. This narrative supports the bullish case; however, $40B is relatively small when compared to the overall size of the U.S. market. At the same time, the bearish narrative is strengthening. Powell stated that “rates are now in a plausible range of neutral,” and the FED emphasized that it will assess incoming data until the January meeting. No decision has been made for January yet. This keeps the market in a state of uncertainty and when the market lacks a clear narrative, it often turns bearish. Keep this in mind. Technical Analysis Price ran the 690 level and printed... Read more

Gold is trading in a clear bullish structure price has been respecting an ascending channel, forming higher highs and higher lows, which confirms that buyers are firmly in control of the market. After a strong impulsive move to the upside, price faced profit-taking near the recent highs, followed by a healthy pullback. This retracement is holding above the previous breakout zone and rising trendline, indicating that bullish momentum remains intact and the move looks corrective rather than a trend reversal. The grey zones on the chart highlight key demand and supply areas. Price is currently reacting positively from a strong demand zone, which aligns with the trendline support—this confluence strengthens the probability of another upside continuation. As long as price holds above the support area around 4,288–4,278, buyers are expected to step in. A sustained hold above this zone could push price toward the first target near 4,332, and if... Read more

SMC Trading Point Technical analysis of Gold (XAUUSD) 1-hour chart shows a bullish "SMC" (Smart Money Concept) analysis with these key points: 1. Structure: Price breaks out of an ascending channel and forms a consolidation zone (blue shaded area). The breakout suggests potential continuation upward. 2. EMAs - EMA(200) is at 4,222.79. - EMA(50) is at 4,270.71. - Price (4,299.91) is above both EMAs, indicating bullish momentum. 3. Fibonacci levels: - 0.62, 0.705, and 0.79 retracement zones are marked for potential support. 4. Entry: Long position considered after breakout above the consolidation, with price aiming for the "target point" around 4,355.40. Mr SMC Trading Point 5. Target: Upside target set at ~4,355.40, offering roughly a 1.3% move from current price. 6. Stop Loss: Place below the support zone (near 4,270 or EMA 50) to manage risk. 7. Confirmation: Look for strong bullish candles or volume spike post-breakout to validate the... Read more

📈 Gold remains overall bullish , trading within a well-defined ascending structure. Price is now approaching a high-confluence area, where the demand zone aligns perfectly with the lower red trendline. This intersection is critical, as it represents a classic trend-following buy zone within a healthy uptrend. ⚔️As long as this zone holds, we will be looking for bullish reactions and continuation setups, aiming for a move back toward the upper side of the channel and the previous highs. A clean rejection from this level would confirm buyers are still in control. A decisive breakdown below it would invalidate this bullish scenario. Is Gold setting up for another trend continuation, or will it surprise the crowd? 🤔👇 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good;... Read more

In the chart above, one can clearly recognize the Wyckoff Market Cycle pattern. The pattern legitimacy can be confirmed by volume. The volume is represented in the lower portion of the chart. Low to average volume candles are blue. Average volume is indicated by light blue candles. Yellow candles represent higher than average volume. Orange is high volume. And red, represent extremely high volume. You will see each phase of the Wyckoff Market Cycle pattern confirmed by this volume on our current Bitcoin chart. First, the market enters into the accumulation phase. Market volume is fairly high as seen in the accumulation quadrant in the lower left on the chart. However, it is important to note that there is an equal distribution of high volume selling days as there are high volume buying days. Thus, price tends to trend sideways within the channel until the true buying power comes into... Read more

If this daily candle confirms the triangle breakout, the bearish trend will be validated and the price could drop to $83,000. A price reversal is unlikely before the New Year. And if this market cannot free itself from manipulation, it is doomed to collapse.... Read more

#CFX is moving inside a falling wedge pattern on the daily chart. Enter this coin only after a clean breakout above the wedge with strong volume. In that case, the potential targets are: 🎯 $0.0860 🎯 $0.0993 🎯 $0.1223 🎯 $0.1410 🎯 $0.1596 ⚠️ Always remember to use a tight stop-loss and maintain proper risk management.... Read more

I. Core Market Overview and Driving Factors Sharp Price Volatility: Spot gold experienced a "plunge from highs" on Friday, hitting a seven-week high of $4,353 before sharply dropping nearly $96 to a low of $4,257. It ultimately closed near the key $4,300 level., reflecting intense market competition between bulls and bears. Primary Bullish Factors: Macro Policy: The sustained weakness of the U.S. dollar index (at a two-month low) and market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut are the core drivers of the rally. Economic Data: U.S. initial jobless claims recorded their largest increase in nearly four and a half years, reinforcing expectations of an economic slowdown and supporting gold prices. Safe-Haven Sentiment: Ongoing geopolitical tensions provide solid safe-haven demand for gold. Intermarket Dynamics: Silver prices hit a new all-time high, with its strong rally bolstering gold sentiment. However, caution is warranted as silver shows signs of being overbought. Medium-... Read more

Gold is currently trading within a broad range. Friday’s price action suggests that sellers have stepped in, indicating potential distribution at these levels. My base scenario is a move higher toward the range high / ATH to draw in breakout buyers, followed by a downside reaction. I will not act on bias alone — confirmation is required. I’ll be looking for a lower-timeframe market structure shift before considering any short exposure. If this scenario plays out, we could see a deviation above the range high and an aggressive sell-off targeting the ~3900 area. I’ll share updates as the setup develops — follow for further analysis.... Read more

🔍 Market Structure:- HTF Range High / Sell-Side Resting Above: 94,500 – 95,200 HTF Range Low / Buy-Side Resting Below: 84,500 – 85,000 Mid-Range (Equilibrium): ~89,500 – 90,000 (current price area) Price is currently hovering around equilibrium, which is typically low-probability for directional bias. ⚠️ Risk Disclaimer (TradingView-Friendly) This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market behavior is probabilistic and subject to change at any time. Always apply proper risk management and use your own confirmation before executing trades.... Read more

SMC Trading point update Technical analysis of USD/JPY 1-hour chart shows a bullish setup with key elements: 1. Pattern: Price forms an ascending channel and breaks out of the consolidation zone (blue area), indicating potential bullish continuation. 2. Indicators: - EMA(200) at 155.825 and EMA(50) at 155.835 are near the current price, supporting the positive trend. - Current price (155.814) is above EMAs, signaling bullish momentum. 3. Entry: Long position suggested after breakout around 155.835 (EMA 50). 4. Target: Upside target at 157.384 (target point), ~1.0% potential gain. 5. Stop Loss: Place below support zone (~155.000) to protect against Mr SMC Trading point reversal. 6. Confirmation: Wait for bullish candle confirmation post-breakout or signals from other indicators for validation. Please support boost this analysis... Read more

Buy-Side Liquidity: Cleared above ~4330–4350 Premium Zone: Current price region Expected Draw on Liquidity: Lower Key HTF PD Array: H4–D1 Demand / Discount Zone: 4180 – 4160 ⚠️ Risk Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects a probabilistic market scenario, not a trading signal. Markets can invalidate any bias at any time. Always manage risk appropriately and confirm entries with your own model.... Read more

XAUUSD is currently reacting from a strong supply zone, where aggressive selling pressure has capped the recent bullish move. After a sharp UTA (Upthrust Action) and rejection from the highs, price failed to sustain above the premium area, signaling potential distribution and buyer exhaustion. The market is now consolidating below supply with an unfilled FVG, which acts as short-term resistance. As long as price remains below this imbalance and supply zone, bearish continuation is favored. A breakdown below the intraday support opens the path toward the lower demand zone, which is marked as the primary downside target. From a fundamental perspective, de-escalation in geopolitical tensions reduces safe-haven demand, adding further bearish pressure on gold. This aligns with the technical structure, supporting the idea of a corrective-to-bearish move in the near term.... Read more

Pattern:Double Bottom Bullish Divergence Risk:0.75%... Read more

Market structure bearish on HTFs DW Entry at Weekly and Daily AOi Weekly Rejection at AOi Previous Weekly Structure Point Daily Rejection at AOi Previous Daily Structure Point Daily EMA retest Around Psychological Level 1.62000 H4 Candlestick rejection TP: WHO KNOWS! Entry 100% REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability : Manage Your Risk : Be Patient : Every Moment Is Unique : Rinse, Wash, Repeat! : Christ is King.... Read more